Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.037117 0.043339 0.049773 0.056887 0.064499 0.072368 0.081087
2025-11-09 0.026955 0.035826 0.045566 0.056882 0.069513 0.083047 0.098518
2025-11-16 0.018977 0.028944 0.040564 0.054684 0.071017 0.089014 0.110073
2025-11-23 0.013393 0.023722 0.036521 0.052736 0.072077 0.093888 0.119878
2025-11-30 0.010395 0.021129 0.035155 0.053520 0.075935 0.101634 0.132650
2025-12-07 0.008270 0.019287 0.034417 0.054809 0.080181 0.109659 0.145593
2025-12-14 0.006888 0.018242 0.034532 0.057011 0.085406 0.118735 0.159670
2025-12-21 0.005349 0.016627 0.033663 0.057797 0.088776 0.125529 0.171017
2025-12-28 0.005051 0.017037 0.035601 0.062220 0.096637 0.137661 0.188605
2026-01-04 0.003367 0.014537 0.033106 0.060595 0.096803 0.140473 0.195157
2026-01-11 0.002557 0.013490 0.032636 0.061606 0.100230 0.147168 0.206254
2026-01-18 0.001807 0.012296 0.031809 0.062035 0.102848 0.152831 0.216086
2026-01-25 0.001225 0.011316 0.031332 0.063062 0.106427 0.159923 0.227958
2026-02-01 0.000659 0.009961 0.030100 0.062957 0.108519 0.165208 0.237718
2026-02-08 0.000167 0.007959 0.027456 0.060617 0.107529 0.166573 0.242671
2026-02-15 0.000002 0.006297 0.025125 0.058555 0.106784 0.168151 0.247808
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005681 0.024725 0.059381 0.109914 0.174589 0.258853
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005271 0.024689 0.060742 0.113757 0.181920 0.270987
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005153 0.025267 0.063064 0.118926 0.190940 0.285201
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004660 0.024931 0.063892 0.122000 0.197272 0.296097
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005166 0.026949 0.068549 0.130432 0.210487 0.315499
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004094 0.025096 0.066839 0.129918 0.212188 0.320661
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003752 0.024951 0.067903 0.133281 0.218868 0.331975